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Bayes' theorem

   Also found in: Medical, Encyclopedia, Wikipedia, Hutchinson 0.03 sec.
Bayes' theorem [beɪz]
n
(Mathematics & Measurements / Statistics) Statistics the fundamental result which expresses the conditional probability P(E/A) of an event E given an event A as P(A/E).P(E)/P(A); more generally, where En is one of a set of values Ei which partition the sample space, P(En/A) = P(A/En)P(En)/Σ P(A/Ei)P(Ei). This enables prior estimates of probability to be continually revised in the light of observations
[named after Thomas Bayes (1702-61), English mathematician and Presbyterian minister]
ThesaurusLegend:  Synonyms Related Words Antonyms
Noun1.Bayes' theorem - (statistics) a theorem describing how the conditional probability of a set of possible causes for a given observed event can be computed from knowledge of the probability of each cause and the conditional probability of the outcome of each cause
theorem - an idea accepted as a demonstrable truth
statistics - a branch of applied mathematics concerned with the collection and interpretation of quantitative data and the use of probability theory to estimate population parameters


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? Mentioned in ? References in periodicals archive
 
the lower range reported for SMART/ALERT), we can calculate the posttest probability of anthrax with both positive and negative test results by using Bayes' theorem (40).
We combined the individual projections derived from these different databases using Bayes' theorem, described previously (17,18) to yield a single prediction of carcinogenicity.
Thus, they see Bayes' theorem as a mathematical expression of how people should think about events such as these.
 
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