Henceforth, by lowering the nuclear threshold
and enhancing the possibilities of escalation to a full scale thermonuclear war, Trump administration has explicitly threatened world peace.
To lower the nuclear threshold
increases the risk of a global catastrophe, a risk that the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists currently places at its highest level since 1953.
By calling for expansion of US nuclear arsenal with smaller-yield weapons and more flexible nuclear targeting abilities, the Trump administration deliberately seeks to lower the nuclear threshold
And how is escalation to be controlled after these Gates of Hell are opened and the nuclear threshold
This has been an attempt by India to find space for war below the nuclear threshold
, on the assumption that Pakistan would not risk using its nuclear weapons against Indian cities in response to a limited conventional strike since this would invite a 'massive' Indian nuclear retaliation.
So here is another hypothetical miscalculation: one could envision that if China were to find itself in a conflict with the United States in a fight over the South China Sea, it would consider crossing the nuclear threshold
to prevent defeat and the prospect of being "dethroned" by its own populace should the Potemkin village of its promises be realized.
Many in the Middle East including Saudi Arabia and Israel think that Iran will at some point in future become a nuclear threshold
state, as a result of the P5+1 agreement.
The outcome would almost certainly be an Iran that strives to restore its capacity as a nuclear threshold
state while continuing to threaten Israel and sponsor allies across the Middle East.
Israelis do not bet their money on the deal transforming the Islamic Republic, so what is to stop an empowered Iran from crossing the nuclear threshold
once most of the deal's terms expire?
Therefore, the conventional military balance will further tilt in favour of India; and will, consequently, lower Pakistan's nuclear threshold
States behave rationally, asymmetry goes down and graphs for high cost of war and nuclear threshold
rise upward, consequently, the probability of war decreases.
Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said it was a 'bad mistake of historic proportions'; (6) Saudi Arabia has warned that the nuclear accord with Teheran could fuel a nuclear arms race in the Middle East; (7) and US Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said the deal left Iran 'empowered as a nuclear threshold
state armed with billions in sanctions relief'.