contingent probability

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Noun1.contingent probability - the probability that an event will occur given that one or more other events have occurred
probability, chance - a measure of how likely it is that some event will occur; a number expressing the ratio of favorable cases to the whole number of cases possible; "the probability that an unbiased coin will fall with the head up is 0.5"
References in periodicals archive ?
Neither so obvious nor so calamitous as the nemesis of faith, that of scepticism is only a contingent probability.